GEOLOGISTS WARN OF MEGA ERUPTION AS 3 TIMES THE MAGMA BUILDS THAT WAS PRESENT DURING THE VOLCANO TAMBORA WHICH WAS THE LARGEST IN THE LAST 10,000 YEARS
NOV 8 2010
Der Spiegel reports on the growling-ever-louder Indonesian
Merapi volcano in an article titled: Geologists Warning
of Mega-Eruption of Merapi.
The Merapi eruptions are becoming more violent and the big bang could be just
ahead. The Indonesian volcano has been spewing 800°C ash clouds for days.
According to Der Spiegel, 122 people have been killed, most on Friday. “Merapi
is among the most dangerous volcanoes,” says geo-scientist Volker
Steinbach of the German Federal Administration for Geoscience and Raw
Materials (BGR). Der Spiegel adds:
Friday’s eruption is its worst this decade, says the chief geologist of the
Energy Administration, Raden Sukhyiar, in the “Jakarta Post”. The biggest
known eruptions occurred in 1006, 1369, 1786, 1822, 1872 – destroying a large
number of villages – and 1930 when 1300 people perished.
Investigations of the volcano have revealed that an
unprecedented Magma reservoir lurks underneath it, says Birger Lühr, a
volcano researcher at the GFZ in Potsdam, Germany.
A rough estimate indicates that there is three times
more magma than what was ejected by the
Indonesian volcano Tambora in 1815 – the biggest
eruption in the last 10,000 years, which led to a cooling of the
climate globally.
Geoscientists aren’t sure what to make of this huge magma reservoir. As Der
Spiegel reports, they are hesitant to make predictions of catastrophe (That’s
only done in climate science, even though the odds are far less).
Word of a ‘mega-eruption’ is making the rounds
among scientists. But apparently they are avoiding the use of the word to
avoid being labelled preachers of disasters. ‘We can only speculate what the
volcano will do,’ says Birger Lühr. Merapi is hardly predictable.
History shows, however, that volcanoes in Indonesia have a worrisome potential
for catastrophic eruptions. Nature cannot be controlled. It can only be coped
with.
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